Welcome to Bracketology 2023! Mid-January is when any real shape for the NCAA Tournament begins to take form, so we will now begin our deep dive into what the bracket would look like the season ended right now.
Remember, this is not my opinion on what the committee should do – this is about what I think the committee would do if today were Selection Sunday. Then, when it’s actually Selection Sunday, this will be my prediction for the soon-to-be-revealed real bracket.
Bracketology 2023: The First Edition
Seed Lines
Teams are arranged by S-Curve order. As in, a team at the front of a seed line is higher on the S-Curve, and a team at the end of a seed line is the last team to receive that seed.
Tentative auto bids are italicized, official auto bids are bolded.
Includes all games through Thursday, Jan. 19.
1s – Kansas, Purdue, Alabama, Houston
2s – UCLA, Texas, Arizona, Tennessee
3s – Kansas State, Connecticut, Gonzaga, Iowa State
4s – Xavier, Virginia, Bayloe, Marquette
5s – TCU, Miami (FL), Rutgers, Auburn
6s – Illinois, Providence, Michigan State, Duke
7s – NC State, St. Mary’s, Iowa, Wisconsin
8s – San Diego State, Clemson, Missouri, New Mexico
9s – Arkansas, Arizona State, Indiana, FAU
10s – Pittsburgh, Northwestern, Boise State, Creighton
11s – North Carolina, Maryland, Wake Forest, Memphis, West Virginia, Ohio State
12s – Charleston, VCU, Oral Roberts, Kent State
13s – Liberty, Princeton, Southern Illinois, Louisiana
14s – Seattle U, Colgate, Samford, UC Riverside
15s – Eastern Washington, SIU Edwardsville, Siena, UNC Asheville
16s – Milwaukee, Southern, Morgan State, Nicholls, Fairleigh Dickinson, Binghamton
The Bubble
Last Four Byes
Northwestern
Creighton
North Carolina
Maryland
Last Four In
Wake Forest
Memphis
West Virginia
Ohio State
First Four Out
Nevada
Oklahoma
Penn State
Kentucky
Next Four Out
Seton Hall
USC
Oregon
UCF
Per Conference
Big Ten – 10 (Purdue, Rutgers, Illinois, Michigan State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Indiana, Northwestern, Maryland, Ohio State)
ACC – 8 (Virginia, Miami, Duke, NC State, Clemson, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Wake Forest)
Big 12 – 7 (Kansas, Texas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor, TCU, West Virginia)
Big East – 5 (Connecticut, Xavier, Marquette, Providence, Creighton)
SEC – 5 (Alabama, Tennessee, Auburn, Missouri, Arkansas)
MWC – 3 (San Diego State, New Mexico, Boise State)
Pac-12 – 3 (UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State)
AAC – 2 (Houston, Memphis)
WCC – 2 (Gonzaga, St. Mary’s)
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